2012年9月6日 星期四

Manufacturing ISM Report On Business® PMI at 49.6%

Link: http://www.ism.ws/ismreport/mfgrob.cfm


Summary:
  • WHAT RESPONDENTS ARE SAYING ...
    • slow 說了五次
    • holding onto their money 現金為王
  • OVERALL ECONOMY 
    • Direction: growing (49.6 > 42.6)(O)
    • Rate of change: slower
    • Trend: 39 months
  • But manufacturing sector
    • Direction: contracting (49.6 < 50)(X)
    • Rate of change: faster
    • Trend: 3 months
  • PMI 
    • A reading above 50 percent indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally contracting.
    • A PMI™ in excess of 42.6 percent, over a period of time, generally indicates an expansion of the overall economy.
  • New orders
    • A New Orders Index above 52.3 percent, over time, is generally consistent with an increase in the Census Bureau's series on manufacturing orders. 
  • Production
    • An index above 51.2 percent, over time, is generally consistent with an increase in the Federal Reserve Board's Industrial Production figures.
  • Employment
    • An Employment Index above 50.5 percent, over time, is generally consistent with an increase in the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data on manufacturing employment.
  • Supplier Deliveries
    • A reading above 50 percent indicates slower deliveries.
  • Inventories
    • An Inventories Index greater than 42.8 percent, over time, is generally consistent with expansion in the Bureau of Economic Analysis' (BEA) figures on overall manufacturing inventories.
  • Customers' Inventories
    • A reading below 50 percent indicates customers' inventories are considered too low.
  • Price
    • A Prices Index above 49.4 percent, over time, is generally consistent with an increase in the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Index of Manufacturers Prices.
    • 變化頗快
  • The next Manufacturing ISM Report On Business® featuring the September 2012 data will be released at 10:00 a.m. (ET) on Monday, October 1, 2012.
    • 已經寫入 Python script,下個月只剩 Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index 還不知道 next released date。

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