2. 資料:
- http://www.ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/claims_arch.asp
- 歷史:http://www.ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/claims.asp (N.S.A = Not Seasonally Adjusted,S.F = Seasonal Factor,S.A = Seasonal Adjusted)
3. 摘要:
- (2012) In the week ending August 11, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 366,000, an increase of 2,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 364,000. The 4-week moving average was 363,750, a decrease of 5,500 from the previous week's revised average of 369,250.
- Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims => 個人所得。那什麼 => Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims?失業 ((廢話)),但失業率不夠敏感、不夠及時,因此失業率只能確認 Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims 趨勢。
- Industrial Production Index => Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims
- 可使用歷史資料回測自己想法,此數據雖是領先指標,但頗為敏感。至於絕對數字高低,雖書有略講一二,但美國人口年年變動,人多就業人口多,失業人口也多,看趨勢或變化率還是比較準,絕對數據也能從趨勢撈出來。
4. 延伸閱讀:
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